Interactive sections and original PDF pages are labelled separately and preserved as historical snapshots.
Global: Global tape is thin this cycle — structural themes hold. · Regional: Corridor, insurance and alliance capacity remain the operating variables. · Türkiye: Keep FX risk and local-equity exposure on separate budgets.
31 July 2026KOSPI’s one-day surge, Amazon vs Apple on AI spend, CBRT’s temporary inflation bump, and three binding capacity bottlenecks: compute, energy logistics and defence production.
30 July 2026Markets reward visible cash conversion over speculative build-out: Microsoft cloud strength vs Meta free-cash pressure, Fed on hold with hawkish long end, and TPAO’s Kerkük stake as Türkiye’s strategic energy move.
29 July 2026KOSPI’s sharp chip sell-off despite strong earnings, Brent above $87, softer Türkiye consumer confidence, and US–Saudi–Iraq conflict dynamics elevating defence capacity as a global theme.
28 July 2026Asia chip correction, Brent near $87.55 with weak Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb traffic, mixed Türkiye confidence, and Washington defence diplomacy keeping regional risk elevated.
27 July 2026Gulf risk premium eases prices without normalising tanker flows; AI spend must prove cash conversion; Türkiye’s short-term oil relief does not erase the CBRT path; physical infrastructure remains the binding constraint.
26 July 2026US–Iran tension pauses while the regional risk map widens; oil retreats without pricing full normalisation; additional US tariffs including Türkiye’s 12.5% lift cost bases; AI focus shifts from spend size to return quality.
25 July 2026Oil shock eases but Hormuz and Red Sea risks persist; US tariffs form a global cost floor; AI demand is strong while free cash flow is scrutinised; Türkiye policy rate at 37% with export and energy cost pressure.
23 July 2026Consumers, labor, inflation, industry, housing and markets in one policy decision tree.
20 July 2026World Bank, BIST, technology, banking and commodity data in an analytical series.
16 July 2026Markets, geopolitics, artificial intelligence, climate and social indicators.
